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Penguins Trail by Three, but the Chances Say Otherwise

Murashov is beaten five times while Hill matches Pittsburgh's pressure save for save, as Koivunen finally gets one back in Vegas.

Written during the game · 12:15 AM ET. Final was PIT 2, VGK 6.

By MA Insights

Vegas leads Pittsburgh 5-2 with 11:54 left in the 3rd (8:06 played), and the score makes it look like a runaway. The chances say it has been much closer.

The Penguins have actually had the slightly better of it. Expected goals, which is how many goals the chances were worth, are 2.03 for Pittsburgh and 2.02 for Vegas. Shot attempts are 39-38 Pittsburgh, and the Penguins hold a 13-8 edge in high-danger chances.

The gap is in the net. Sergei Murashov has stopped 12 of 17 shots, with five goals against, while Adin Hill has stopped 18 of 20, including 7 of 9 high-danger chances. Murashov has stopped only 2 of 5 high-danger chances.

Mark Stone has a goal and two assists for Vegas. Ville Koivunen pulled one back for Pittsburgh at 4:43 of the 3rd, with Evgeni Malkin and Tommy Novak assisting. The bounces have gone Vegas's way.

— by MA Insights AI —
PenguinsGolden Knightsexpected goalsAdin HillSergei Murashov

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