Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche — 2026-10-10

SCORING SUMMARY

P1 16:57
Nick Blankenburg(William Nylander, Nick Paul)
1–0
P1 9:14
Nathan MacKinnon(Brett Kulak, Devon Toews)
1–1
P1 4:46
Nathan MacKinnon(Cale Makar, Martin Necas)
1–2
P2 13:07
William Nylander(Gavin McKenna, Auston Matthews)
2–2
5v4
P2 7:35
2–3
P2 3:13
William Nylander(Auston Matthews, Nick Paul)
3–3
P2 2:27
Easton Cowan(Morgan Rielly, William Nylander)
4–3
P3 7:58
Auston Matthews(William Nylander, Kirill Marchenko)
5–3
5v4
P3 0:39
6–3
5v6
TOR
COL
Expected goals share

COL controlled play with 57% of expected goals.

3.364.44
High-danger
1523
Chances
2347
Attempts
4378
Shots
2333
Shots by period
1ST
811
COL 58%
2ND
413
COL 76%
3RD
119
Even
Irons (Posts & Crossbars)
1
2
Possession
46.9%
Faceoff %
53.1%
5
Takeaways
6
10
Giveaways · fewer is better
15
Physical & discipline
22
Hits
16
22
Blocks
10
12
Penalty minutes · fewer is better
10
Special teams
Power play · filled = goal, hollow = chance
2 for 4
0 for 5

MA INSIGHTS

Game Summary

Maple Leafs 6-3 over Avalanche as Bobrovsky answers the barrage

Nylander and Matthews finish while the iron bites Colorado and Bobrovsky seals it.

Toronto didn’t have the puck as much, but it had the finish — and Sergei Bobrovsky. The Maple Leafs turned a night of counterpunches into a 6-3 win while the Avalanche carried most of the push and kept firing.

Colorado’s pressure was real: they owned the shot attempts by almost two to one and generated chances worth about 4.40 expected goals — expected goals meaning how many the chances usually produce. Nathan MacKinnon drove that wave with 8 shots and 2 goals. But Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 33 and added +1.40 goals saved above expected — how many more he turned away than a typical night — giving Toronto the breathing room to strike back.

On the other end, William Nylander (2 goals, 3 assists) and Auston Matthews (2 goals, 2 assists) cashed the best looks, with help from a Leafs power play that converted twice. Mackenzie Blackwood yielded 5 on 21 shots, and that goaltending gap told.

The bounces cut Colorado too: the iron rang three times, with Martin Necas, Morgan Rielly, and Nazem Kadri each clipping a crossbar.

Takeaway: Toronto bags a big win that hides how much it spent defending; Colorado showed an elite attack, but finishing and netminding swung the night.

— by MA Insights AI —
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IRON METRICS

TOR
1Iron Hit
Morgan Rielly (1)
COL
2Iron Hits
Martin Necas (1), Nazem Kadri (1)
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