Leafs Face a Devils Attack That Keeps Coming

New Jersey arrives in Toronto as the team getting the better looks, and Toronto has to find a way to take some of those looks away while creating more of its own.

Over their last 10 games, the Devils have won 8 and generated chances worth about 4.12 goals a night by expected goals (how many goals a team's chances are worth), while giving up chances worth 2.75. They have also outshot opponents in attempts, about 65 to 50 per game. That is a team controlling play, not just riding bounces.

Toronto has gone 5-5 in that stretch. Its chances have been worth 3.49 a game, but it has allowed more attempts than it takes, roughly 60 to 55.

For New Jersey, the formula is simple: keep piling up looks like it has. For Toronto, it has to cut that volume down and push its own chances higher, likely without Morgan Rielly, who left Saturday's loss to Montreal with a lower-body injury.

The standings add weight. The Devils (12-5-0, 24 points) sit second in the Metropolitan on a four-game win streak. The Maple Leafs (8-8-2, 18 points) are seventh in the Atlantic, on a two-game skid, and still in a tight wild-card race.