Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders — 2026-10-10

Saturday, October 10, 2026Final
5–3
SOG: 26 – 23
Watch:The SpotMSGSN

SCORING SUMMARY

P1 14:15
1–0
P1 4:18
Brandon Hagel(Victor Hedman, Max Crozier)
2–0
P2 13:33
Tony DeAngelo(Ondrej Palat)
2–1
P2 12:06
Jake Guentzel(Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel)
3–1
5v4
P2 8:19
Jean-Gabriel Pageau(Matthew Schaefer, Tony DeAngelo)
3–2
P2 0:07
Brayden Schenn(Bo Horvat, Matias Maccelli)
3–3
4v5
P3 1:44
Brandon Hagel(Max Crozier, Ryan McDonagh)
4–3
P3 1:23
Brandon Hagel(Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov)
5–3
5v6
TBL
NYI
Expected goals share

TBL controlled play with 58% of expected goals.

2.671.97
High-danger
1111
Chances
2723
Attempts
5047
Shots
2623
Shots by period
1ST
104
TBL 71%
2ND
810
Even
3RD
89
Even
Irons (Posts & Crossbars)
1
1
Possession
49.0%
Faceoff %
51.0%
5
Takeaways
2
14
Giveaways · fewer is better
18
Physical & discipline
18
Hits
30
14
Blocks
16
9
Penalty minutes · fewer is better
13
Special teams
Power play · filled = goal, hollow = chance
1 for 4
1 for 2

MA INSIGHTS

Game Summary

Hagel Drives Lightning Win on Long Island

Guentzel finishes in support while two cracks off the iron frame the night; Tampa’s road mettle still a talking point.

Brandon Hagel didn’t just pile up a hat trick — he set the tone for how Tampa Bay won. Three goals, an assist, six shots and about 22 minutes were the headline, but the game tilted because the Lightning earned the better looks at five-on-five. Their expected goals edge — 2.66 to 1.97 — shows they created the more dangerous chances, and they even nudged the shot-attempt battle 49–47.

This wasn’t a one-man show. Jake Guentzel buried two, and both Nikita Kucherov and Max Crozier fed the attack with two assists apiece. The near-misses mattered too: there were two rings of iron, with Anthony Cirelli and Bo Horvat each denied by the frame — moments that hinted at more danger than the scoreboard alone.

For the Islanders, Ilya Sorokin stopped 21 of 25, and his goals saved above expected at -1.83 captured a night where a few leaks turned into goals. Big picture for Tampa: the home form is real; proving it consistently on the road remains the next box to check.

— by MA Insights AI —
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IRON METRICS

TBL
1Iron Hit
Anthony Cirelli (1)
NYI
1Iron Hit
Bo Horvat (1)
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