Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning — 2026-10-29

Thursday, October 29, 2026Final
Jets
4–6
SOG: 21 – 31
Lightning
★Pontus Holmberg1G 3A★★Brandon Hagel1G 2A★★★Anthony Cirelli1G 2A
Watch:TSN3The Spot

SCORING SUMMARY

P1 17:40
Brayden Point(Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel)
0–1
P1 2:15
Neal Pionk(Cole Perfetti, Mark Scheifele)
1–1
P2 10:17
Conor Geekie(Dominic James, Jeffrey Viel)
1–2
P2 4:04
Anthony Cirelli(Pontus Holmberg, Gage Goncalves)
1–3
4v5
P2 1:53
John Carlson(Pontus Holmberg, Brandon Hagel)
1–4
P2 0:57
Brandon Hagel(Anthony Cirelli, Pontus Holmberg)
1–5
P3 13:00
Dylan Samberg(Cole Perfetti, Mark Scheifele)
2–5
P3 11:10
Neal Pionk(Dawson Mercer, Kyle Connor)
3–5
P3 2:48
Kyle Connor(Mark Scheifele, Dylan Samberg)
4–5
6v5
P3 1:31
Pontus Holmberg(Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel)
4–6
6v5
WPG
TBL
Expected goals share

TBL controlled play with 69% of expected goals.

2.074.64
High-danger
1022
Chances
2338
Attempts
4860
Shots
2131
Shots by period
1ST
67
Even
2ND
714
TBL 67%
3RD
810
Even
Possession
61.4%
Faceoff %
38.6%
2
Takeaways
1
11
Giveaways · fewer is better
16
Physical & discipline
28
Hits
17
14
Blocks
10
6
Penalty minutes · fewer is better
4
Special teams
Power play · filled = goal, hollow = chance
0 for 2
1 for 3

ANALYTICS LEADERS

Most dangerous shooter
Jake Guentzel
TBL · C · #59
1.21
expected goals
0 goals on 6 shots
Drove play *
Brayden Point
TBL · C · #21
82%
of expected goals while on the ice
20:14 played
High-danger presence
Brayden Point
TBL · C · #21
+11
high-danger chances while on the ice
14 for, 3 against
Goalie
Nico Daws
WPG · G · #35
+0.82
goals saved above expected
faced 0.82 expected, allowed 0

* min 10 minutes played

GAME GRADE LEADERS

Top forward
Pontus Holmberg
TBL · RW · #29
9.3
Game Grade
Elite
Production 9.8 · Quality 8.0
Top defenseman
Dylan Samberg
WPG · D · #54
9.0
Game Grade
Elite
Production 8.6 · Quality 9.0
Top goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy
TBL · G · #88
5.2
Game Grade
Below average
Production 5.3 · Quality 5.2
Best quality of play
Cole Perfetti
WPG · C · #91
8.8
Quality grade
Very good
Game Grade 8.7 · Production 8.0

Grades run 0 to 10 and an ordinary game is a six. A skater needs 7 minutes of ice time to be graded, a goalie 20. How the Game Grade works

MA INSIGHTS

Game Summary

Hagel, Holmberg and Cirelli Carry Lightning Past Jets 6-4

Winnipeg's netminders couldn't paper over the gap, and Vasilevskiy let in more than the Jets' looks deserved at the other end.

Tampa Bay had the better of this game nearly all night. The 6-4 final still makes it look closer than it really was. Tampa's chances were worth 4.64 expected goals (how many goals its looks should produce), compared with 2.07 for Winnipeg. The Lightning also had more shot attempts, 60 to 48.

The Jets' goaltending did not bail them out. Stuart Skinner allowed 5 goals on 21 shots. Nico Daws stopped all 9 shots he faced.

What kept Winnipeg in it was the other crease. Andrei Vasilevskiy finished -1.93 in goals saved above expected, meaning he let in about two more goals than the Jets' chances warranted. He allowed 4 goals on 21 shots.

Pontus Holmberg played on a line with Anthony Cirelli and Brandon Hagel. That trio combined for 10 points. Jake Guentzel put 6 shots on net and came away with one assist.

For Winnipeg, Neal Pionk scored twice, and Mark Scheifele added 3 assists.

— by MA Insights AI —
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